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Tuesday, March 20, 2007

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I can't comment on Curve Fitting because the Permalink is broken so I'm leaving my response here.


In my econometrics experience, economists do test for nonlinearity by (1) thinking about what the data should do, (2) plotting it and looking at it in various ways, (3) squaring certain columns and comparing F-tests.

Because of Taylor's theorem, nonlinearity can be approximated by including squared, cubed, etc. terms - and furthermore, if squaring doesn't add more explanatory power, neither will further articulations of curvature.

The dangers of adding unlimited squared and cubed terms is the same as those of calibration.

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