Latest on the Doha debacle

Doha? Don't hold your breath. With 149 conflicting agendas, the WTO trade talks are failing to recast the rules of the global marketplace, reports Heather Stewart from Geneva: Poorest farmers get no harvest from WTO. Here's a small excerpt:

Pascal Lamy, the WTO's director-general, had been pushing hard for negotiators to sketch the outlines of a deal ('modalities' in Geneva-speak) by today, so that trade ministers could come together and discuss the details. But ..he was forced to accede to their demands and admit that the deadline would be missed.

While some were insisting that a few more weeks of hard graft in the Swiss city could roll the talks to their next stage, some observers have already started to question whether the round is about to 'run into the sand' (an especially popular metaphor), and even whether the future of the WTO itself is at stake.

George W Bush will have to reapply to Congress for his right to negotiate trade deals next summer and many analysts believe he is unlikely to get it. Without that authority, any deal would almost certainly be chucked out - so unless the details can be pinned down before then, the whole trade round is in jeopardy.

Europe and America's unwillingness to dismantle their lavish farm subsidies is often seen as the crux of the fraught negotiations, but the game at the WTO involves 149 players, arrayed in a dizzying constellation of overlapping groups. They are all hoping to protect their various interests and prevent signing away the livelihoods of their citizens, as many developing countries felt they had after the Uruguay round of trade talks which ended in 1994.

UPDATE: Tuesday's IHT has a short piece with various encouraging noises: WTO negotiators work to salvage a deal by July:

"We believe that there is a way for us to get to yes and to come up with a successful conclusion to the round," Robert Portman said after a meeting with his nominated successor, Susan Schwab, and the WTO director general, Pascal Lamy. Lamy said, "We've been working hard on precise topics, numbers and texts, so I can get a sense of where the red lines are."

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I have to wonder if the educated people who work promoting trade and globalization realize that they are just tilting the scale against the people who are labor and in favor of a tiny segment of the world that is the aristocracy of capital. Is this what you want to be remembered for when you leave this world?

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