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Wednesday, January 31, 2007



A lot of the inflation is actually because of the rising prices of agricultural commodities. There's also evidence of overheating in the real estate sector. But with net profit growth in exxcess of 30% in the last quarter, market enthusiasm is backed by the fundamentals, although there's no doubt it's priced to perfection. A recent Goldman Sachs note says that the boom is being driven by an improvment in total factor productivity. So yes, part of the reason for 9% growth is the global boom.Is it sustainable? My guess is that even after central bank tightening, corporate investment---they're finally adding capacity after years---will keep the momentum going at least for the next couple of years.

Alex M Thomas

Inflation, i believe is mainly due to the mismatch of demand and supply in the market. The distribution system in highly inefficient.


India GDP (2000 to 2040)
Population 15% to 18%
Land 2% to 10%
Food Production 8% to 15%
Electricity 4% to 10%
Tech 4% to 15% (Cell Phones, Computers, etc)
Roads 5% to 15% (Roads, Waterways, Railroads)
Culture 10% to 25% (Movies, Resturants, Events)
Forex 1% to 10% (Euro, Dollar, Yuan, Taka)
Debt -1% to -15% (External, Trade Deficit)
Anticipated GDP 10% of world economy (6% to 16%)

dsi xl

Yet another example of our governments ineptitude when dealing with an explosive industry. This administrations track record in international affairs is starting to look worse than Chretien’s.

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