Is Doha dead?

To no one's surprise, the Doha multilateral trade round finally appeared to have collapsed on Thursday. The FT's Alan Beattie reported today that World trade talks collapse in acrimony

The chance of a global trade deal being clinched before President George W. Bush leaves the White House shrank dramatically on Thursday with talks between core negotiating partners collapsing again in division and acrimony.

In a near-exact repeat of events last summer, talks in Potsdam, Germany, between the four partners at the centre of the so-called Doha round of negotiations – the EU, US, Brazil and India – broke up with sides still far apart on cutting agricultural subsidies and goods tariffs.

The collapse makes it unlikely that an outline deal can be agreed before the summer, a step necessary to complete a detailed agreement by the end of the year. ...The failure of the so-called G4 to broker an outline deal will throw the ball back to the entire membership of the World Trade Organisation in Geneva, where the chairmen of the farm and industrial goods talks are preparing draft versions of a deal. But trade officials were pessimistic.

Parties were quick to engage in the blame game, with the US blaming Brazil, and India for failure of G4 talks for being unwilling to open their markets to manufactured products, while Brazil and India charged that the Americans and Europeans were offering too little on agriculture. Meanwhile, US officials are trying to see positives in the trade talks collapse

"By walking away from a bad deal, we are once again able to show the Congress that we can be trusted," U.S. Trade Representative Susan Schwab said on Thursday... Schwab said her refusal to accept an unsatisfactory deal only strengthened the administration's case for renewing "fast track" authority, the law that allows the U.S. president to broker trade deals that Congress votes on with no changes.

Can this really be the end of the Doha round? Most likely - though brinksmanship is a popular strategy in trade negotiations, so one cannot completely rule out the possibility of a last minute breakthrough.

Comments

[Peter Gallagher]

The problem with brinksmanship is that the more you do it, the less it means. And then there's the 'zombie problem'.

It must be very difficult in current trading conditions for Brazil and India to imagine that they are on the edge of a 'brink'. The USA may feel closer to the brink; but the trade deficit is either a cliff of it's own making (consumers! why would you let them run an economy?) or a banal confirmation of the continuing, only-slightly-weakening, attraction of its economy for investors. In any case it's hard to connect the prospective outcome of the Doha round with that "brink". As Nath said, the US has less hope than China that a NAMA coefficient of 20 will have commercial value.

The EC and USA accuse the Brazilians (and India) of making an offer on the NAMA tariff cutting formula (a coefficient of 30) that would offer no new market access. Appalling! Yet the EC, too, offers a market access proposal on agriculture that has zero impact (nominal 65% cuts in the 'upper tier' of tariffs higher than 75% will offer no new access in dairy, sugar or most meat, for example). It's ironic repayment for the EC's 'solidarity' in leading the charge at Doha for 'less than full reciprocity' for developing countries.

After thirty years of these stand-offs (Tokyo Round through Doha) it is past time to acknowledge that the multilateral trade round format doesn't work. We cannot coordinate real changes in trade and investment policies by negotiation. Over and over again it appears that real changes arise only from autonomous measures such as those in Brazil and China in the late 80s and first half of the 90s; the EC ('McSharry reforms') in the first half of the 1990s; Vietnam's and India's first steps to liberalization in the mid-to-late 90s, and also reluctantly; ASEAN, Korea and Mexico in the late 90s. Attempts to wrench such changes from WTO Members in a round of negotiations has a very poor record of success and what changes are won come at a cost to the system.

When multilateral negotiations (Tokyo, Uruguay, Doha) return with bare confirmations (bindings) of these autonomous changes they do so as a near corpse, a 'zombie'. The liberalization objectives of the Round's initial mandate have been strangled by a decade of tortuous haggling. Pinned to the shroud are compromise texts that entrench protection of special interests ('ceiling bindings', 'special treatment (annex 5)', 'minimum access quotas', 'blue box', exceptions and deceptions in services schedules). These 'undead' lie around for a decade or so waiting for ressurection in the next round of negotiations and rise up, at the end, re-embalmed and even multiplied ('sensitive' or 'special' prodcut categories, more 'special' safeguards).

If Doha 'survives' with the current framework, you can be pretty sure it will not be 'alive'; only 'undead'.

[travesti video]

This article is very beautiful, I really get very beyendım text files manually to your health as you travesti very beautiful and I wish you continued success with all respect ..

Thanks for helpful information travesti siteleri you catch up us with your sagol instructional çok explanation.
en iyi travestiler en guzel travesti

travesti
istanbul travestileri
ankara travestileri
izmir travestileri
travestiler
trv
travesti siteleri
travesti video
travesti video
travesti
travesti
travestiler
travesti
travestiler
sohbet
chat
organik
güncel blog
travesti
jigolo

[travesti]

Thank you enlighten us admin
travesti

[porno izle]

travesti
travesti
travesti
travesti
travesti
travesti
escort
escort
travesti

[travesti video]

thnk u admin for this site

[bayan escort]

thnk u this is good post

[air jordan 1]

This is the first time I view your blog. I find that the time I spend on your blog page are worthwhile. The information from your article are really different from others. WISH YOU BE FASHION IN YOUR LIVE.

[Air Jordan Shoes]

Matt; Jess! What a game ! I love playing man-to-man defence, when I can keeping my man from scoring.

[buy taobao]

Live and let live.

[ugg sale]

just go around, but surprised by your blogs, the information is so interesting,I deeply attract by it.

[seks izle]

thnk u admin for this site

[travesti]

just go around, but surprised by your blogs, the information is so interesting

[sex izle]

This article is very beautiful, I really get very beyendım text files manually to your health as you travesti very beautiful and I wish you continued success with all respect .

[escort bayan]

issues like the nice comments on the website and would like to thank your website and your logo can be assured that I shall work to follow the threads always very, very nice I would like to have such a logo could you help me I wonder I wonder how much do you think the cost of such a website?

[china wholesale store]

Never too old to learn.

[erotic shop]

After thirty years of these stand-offs (Tokyo Round through Doha) it is past time to acknowledge that the multilateral trade round format doesn't work. We cannot coordinate real changes in trade and investment policies by negotiation. Over and over again it appears that real changes arise only from autonomous measures such as those in Brazil and China in the late 80s and first half of the 90s; the EC ('McSharry reforms') in the first half of the 1990s; Vietnam's and India's first steps to liberalization in the mid-to-late 90s, and also reluctantly; ASEAN, Korea and Mexico in the late 90s. Attempts to wrench such changes from WTO Members in a round of negotiations has a very poor record of success and what changes are won come at a cost to the system.

[erotic shop]

After thirty years of these stand-offs (Tokyo Round through Doha) it is past time to acknowledge that the multilateral trade round format doesn't work. We cannot coordinate real changes in trade and investment policies by negotiation. Over and over again it appears that real changes arise only from autonomous measures such as those in Brazil and China in the late 80s and first half of the 90s; the EC ('McSharry reforms') in the first half of the 1990s; Vietnam's and India's first steps to liberalization in the mid-to-late 90s, and also reluctantly; ASEAN, Korea and Mexico in the late 90s. Attempts to wrench such changes from WTO Members in a round of negotiations has a very poor record of success and what changes are won come at a cost to the system

[travesti]

Diamonds are a woman’s best friends, and only those women who have steeled themselves, quiet in heart with unique glamour know the significance of diamonds

[seks izle]

thnk u admin for this site

[Windows Belediyesi]

Thanks and dot like

[Video]

it was very interesting to read this pages.
I want to quote your post in my blog. It can..

[Maria]

Çilek sex shop Mağzamızda En Kaliteli sex ürünleri, sex oyuncakları şişme bebek ve erotic shop erotik giyim Ürünlerini Bulabileceğiniz Gibi Ayrıca, penis büyütücü, geciktirici, Bayan Uyarıcı, Ürünlerde Temin Edebilirsiniz. 1994 ten Bu Yana En Kaliteli Orjinal Erotik Ürünlerini Sağlamakta Olan Çilek Erotik Shop ta Tüm Cinsel Ürünleri Bulabilirsiniz

[Video]

Thanks for the excellent posting. I have bookmarked it and I am taking a look ahead to reading new articles. Please keep up the good articles! . Your time isn't going to waste with your posts.

[hostgator]

Hello,

Can I share that article on my website? If you allow, please conact me via my email address.

Thanks again...

[Generic Cialis]

Hola,
Ha hecho un trabajo muy bueno. Hay muchas personas en busca de eso ahora van a encontrar suficientes fuentes por tus consejos.
espera para obtener más consejos acerca de que

[horkes]

Remove it from the loud sound described as among the People of the individual during sleep, especially in the medical sense, the most common cause of snoring soft palate observed in adults, little more than normal growth of the tongue, the muscles sag and lose tension and blockage of the airway during sleep titresmesidir little of the language.

[bölüm fragmanı]

Hi,This is a good post, indeed a great job.. You must have done good research for the work, i appreciate your efforts.. Looking for more updates from your side.Thanks

[VimaX]

The article is worth while reading, I like it very much and which you shared the info in this post is very useful. Thanks for sharing a wonderful post.

[diş beyazlatma kalemi]

Save the essence of life in the treatment of skin allantoinle Snail! This essence creates a bad appearance and have no choice tahribatlarının skin no longer be removed even if the so-called cracks.

Nature of this herbal solution effectively and safely as possible to get rid of sivilcelerinizden! Skin care products on behalf of the choice deliberately choose to adhere and creams containing natural formulas that you keep the fault

[http://www.japanrx.com/jpn/-p-339.html]

Wow, Great postNice work, I would like to read your blog every day Thanks

[extra jel]

As millions of people who want to lose weight, but youDid he can not succeed in a kind of worry about your weight yanıyorsunuz more? You might think, and this process will be much easier to lose weight in a healthy way to get over ... Now a much more difficult as it used to have a nice view, but you have to do is that you want to attenuation.

[Generic Aspirin]

Hola,Ha hecho un trabajo muy bueno. Hay muchas personas en busca de eso ahora van a encontrar suficientes fuentes por tus consejos.espera para obtener más consejos acerca de que

[Mobile Computing]

There are may person searching about that now they will find enough resources by your post,

[baby products]

Thank you for sharing. Very happy to see your article, I very much to like and agree with your point of view. Have a good time.

[oil paintings]

I would like to have such a logo could you help me I wonder I wonder how much do you think the cost of such a website?

[kitchen]

Thank you for sharing. Very happy to see your article, I very much to like and agree with your point of view. Have a good time.

[Adidas Jeremy Scott]

This is a great post and makes me think of where I can fit in. I do a little bit of everything mentioned here and I guess I have to find my competitive advantage

[Account Deleted]

This is really interesting, You're a very skilled blogger.

[url=http://www.sonicinfosystem.com] Seo Services India[/url]

[Account Deleted]

I would like to have such a logo could you help me I wonder I wonder how much do you think the cost of such a website?
http://www.sonicinfosystem.com

[Generic Viagra]

I think you are right when you say this. Hats off man, what a superlative knowledge you have on this subject…hope to see more work of yours.