Conscription doesn't come cheaply

When debating the pros and cons of conscription, little attention has been given to the long-term costs. A new paper by Paolo Buonanno from UC Berkeley and the University of Bergamo suggests it is considerable. His paper to the recent EALE 2007 annual conference looks at the wage impact of the abolition of conscription in the UK in 1960. Buonanno's paper, Long-term Effects of Conscription: Lessons from the UK (PDF), finds a significant wage effect:

We study the effects of the abolition of compulsory military service in the UK on labor market outcomes. Our analysis sheds light on the importance of early labor career phase on labor market outcome; conscription represents a career interruption and prevents the acquisition of labor experience in early labor life. The reform took place in 1960 and affected all men born in and after 1943. We provide new evidence of the effects of compulsory military service on subsequent earnings and we further explore whether the effect of conscription on wages acts through the education channel.

Our results suggest that the effect of military conscription on subsequent earnings is significant and long-lasting. Males who served for two years in the National Service earn on average between 4 and 6 percentage points less than the immediately subsequent cohort exempt from compulsory military service. We find very little evidence that the effect of military service on subsequent earnings is through education. In fact, our estimates show that exempt cohorts accumulate on average only a quarter of a year of additional education. We test the robustness of our results estimating the effect of the abolition of conscription on women. As expected, since women were exempt from military conscription, we find no effect on earnings and educational attainment.

A loss of earnings of around 5% for men equates to a loss of about 2% of GDP - that's quite some cost!

Comments

[Scott Kohlhaas]

Sort of deflates the arguement that forced military service will be good for the individual.

Would you be willing to spread the word about www.draftresistance.org? It's a site dedicated to shattering the myths surrounding the selective slavery system and building mass civil disobedience to stop the draft before it starts!

Our banner on a website, printing and posting the anti-draft flyer or just telling friends would help.

Thanks!

Scott Kohlhaas

PS. When it comes to conscription, an ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure!

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