IMF: "Risks to financial stability have intensified"

For those hoping that credit conditions might gradually be returning to normal, today's IMF Global Financial Stability Report market update contained a stark warning:

Risks to financial stability have intensified since October 2008. Macroeconomic risks have risen as global growth has fallen precipitously alongside a sharp slowdown of global trade. Credit risks have also risen as a deterioration of economic and financial conditions have resulted in rising loan losses. At the same time, the flight from risky assets and illiquid market conditions has increased funding costs, even as risk-free rates have declined with monetary easing.

That is despite the massive bailouts, spending plans and other government interventions we have seen since the last report:

...With the help of extensive government support, market functioning toward the end of 2008 improved in a number of asset classes. However, the negative interaction between the economy and the financial sector has intensified as the credit crunch bites harder and extends globally, with confidence among financial counterparties remaining strained. Indeed, the recent shock to bank earnings and other bad economic news has put further downward pressure on bank equity prices, and the width of credit default swap spreads points to still-elevated systemic risks.

And if you think that prognosis was depressing, the sentence that follows is even worse:

Notwithstanding public injections of capital, many banks around the world may have an insufficient capital cushion to weather a deep global economic downturn.

Translation: many banks are insolvent and probably won't survive the global recession.

The credit crunch ain't over; not by a long shot.

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I know this is an old article, but of course the risks have intensified and they will continue to intensify. The mess has been created as fiat currency has been debased in order to "afford" the bailout policies of the past century. Nobody is willing to allow the economy to correct and the solution is always more of the same...more credit, more spending, more debasing of the currency, more government and more fed interference. The problem never got solved but the symptoms of the problems have been continuously masked with such policies. You can read my thoughts about the financial and business world at WTF Finance .

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according to continue monetary expance new money are going to the markets and to peoples but real infltion is more than Bernanke announced and all investors are understand it. Even Buffet said that its enought monetary support - he worries about his dollar savings against the backdrop of rising inflation.

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